4

Damavand

2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 4 · OR 84

Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Fas 1237/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Saratoga?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength69%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20264th7/282%73%-0.09