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9

Magical Mikel

2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 9 · OR 65

Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1239/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 54 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 54 par8/08C6OR 54projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-07-09Saratoga?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/078/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +52.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
08/08/20264th20/10%67%+0.67