11
Patriots Quest
2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 11 · OR 75
Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 13-15 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -20.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |