13

Very Happy

2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 13 · OR 69

Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Kentucky Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f110y Fm 1199/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kentucky Downs?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength20%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20265th16/116%56%+0.40