10
Jet Sweep Joe
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 10 · OR 90
Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength28%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 10/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |