Executive Chef
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 105
Keeneland · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 6 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Emerald Downs | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-09-06 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Emerald Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-08-04 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2023 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 08/06/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/09/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |