9
Discotheque
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 97
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
63%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 69/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |