8
Embry Show
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 8 · OR 101
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 62/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |