3
Ezum
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 3 · OR 91
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -31.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.52 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |