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4

Overtime Rules

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 84

Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11910/07C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 82 par7/09C6OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Colonial Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-07-10Colonial Downs?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +73.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20266th3/184%29%-0.56
07/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18