5
Pimlott
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 106
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -81.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |