12
Reclamation
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 12 · OR 96
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 12th | 7th | +4 |
| 2026-01-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 06/02/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |