10
Speedstorm
4yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 10 · OR 92
Keeneland · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |