5
Love A Warrior
2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 93
Keeneland · Race 8 - Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select - Grade 3 · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 10th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -38.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |