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8

Ruiva

2yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 8 · OR 106

Keeneland · Race 8 - Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select - Grade 3 · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 4f110y 11929/04C61 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 27 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/061C1 @ Del Mar 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 100 par9/08C1OR 100projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot13rd3rd+0
2026-04-29Churchill Downs?1st8th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0417/069/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 37/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength89%

Delivery trend -10.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
17/06/20263rd11/142%92%+0.50
09/08/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10