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5

Snowyte

4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 94

Keeneland · Race 9 - Juddmonte Spinster Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 1f

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲3
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark01/11/2024 · OR 92 par1/11C?OR 92C6 @ Keeneland 11/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 80 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark11/04/2025 · OR 80 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 15/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 85 · 1m Slo 118 · below its mark15/05/2025 · OR 85 par15/05C6OR 85C6 @ Monmouth Park 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 89 parC5 @ Keeneland 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 95 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 95 par18/10C5OR 95C6 @ Gulfstream 01/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fas 121 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Aqueduct 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 98 · 1m1f 119 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 98 par29/03C5OR 98C0 @ Saratoga 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 96 · 1m1f 120 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 96 parC0 @ Saratoga 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 95 · 1m1f Fas 124 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 95 par29/08C?OR 95projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-07-24Saratoga?3rd3rd−0
2026-03-29Aqueduct?2nd7th−4
2026-02-01Gulfstream?1st7th−5
2025-10-18Keeneland?2nd8th−5
2025-08-30Monmouth Park?1st8th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1130/0829/0329/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20248th14/126%13%-0.14
11/04/20253rd7/491%75%-0.16
15/05/20254th6/492%50%-0.42
30/08/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
18/10/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
01/02/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
29/03/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
24/07/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
29/08/20264th20/10%40%+0.40