2
Jentobello
6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 110
Kelso · Welcome To Family Day Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 189y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Market Rasen | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Perth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Kelso | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Hexham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 350% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 73/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 3. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |