Bold Light
9yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 112
Kelso · Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Perth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Perth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Newcastle | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kelso | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 01/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |