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8

Dalileo

11yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 97

Kelso · Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Perth regular who won back-to-back 3m handicaps there in July. Didn't beat a rival on either start over the same C&D last month, though, and his record here isn't anything special.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wetherby 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 93 · 2m5f56y Gd 156 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 93 par31/105OR 935 @ Ayr 12/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 92 · 2m3f110y Sft 160 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 92 par4 @ Perth 13/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 92 · 3m2f127y GS 153 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 92 par13/054OR 925 @ Perth 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 90 · 2m7f207y Gd 158 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 90 par5 @ Perth 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 89 · 2m7f207y Gd 159 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 89 par2/075OR 894 @ Perth 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 95 · 2m7f207y Gd 143 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 95 par5 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 101 · 2m7f207y Gd 164 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 101 par15/085OR 1015 @ Perth 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 100 · 2m7f207y Gd 163 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 100 par5 @ Perth 24/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 98 · 2m7f207y Goo 163 · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 98 par24/095OR 98projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Perth59th10th−1
2026-09-07Perth58th9th−1
2026-08-15Perth57th8th−1
2026-07-12Perth41st1st0
2026-07-02Perth51st2nd−1
2026-06-07Perth53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/107/0615/0824/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -12.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20255th25/10%64%+0.64
12/11/20254th18/15%77%+0.72
13/05/20267th50/10%40%+0.40
07/06/20263rd18/15%83%+0.78
02/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
12/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
15/08/20267th6/168%40%-0.28
07/09/20268th14/126%0%-0.26
24/09/20269th25/10%0%0.00