Do No Wrong
10yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 115
Kelso · Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Uttoxeter | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2025-08-25 | Cartmel | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Cartmel | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Uttoxeter | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2024 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 18/09/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 16/10/2024 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 03/06/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/06/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |