10

Interchangeable

6yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 84

Kelso · Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains with sole win from 15 starts. Hasn't built on the promise of his third over 2¼m here in April. Seemingly no excuses at Cartmel (17f) last time, either, and he has something to prove from well out of the weights following 11 weeks away.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 17/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 108 · 2m4f Gd 154 · below its mark17/03/2025 · OR 108 par17/03C8OR 1084 @ Carlisle 02/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 110 · 2m1f33y Sft 158 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 110 par3 @ Carlisle 30/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 105 · 2m1f Sft 148 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 105 par30/113OR 1055 @ Carlisle 14/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 104 · 2m3f61y Sft 167 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 104 par4 @ Carlisle 16/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 100 · 2m1f Sft 156 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 100 par16/024OR 1005 @ Kelso 20/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 97 · 2m2f25y Goo 161 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 97 par5 @ Hexham 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 94 · 2m48y Goo 168 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 94 par19/055OR 944 @ Perth 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 2m47y Gd 144 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 89 par5 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 89 · 2m1f46y Gd 158 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 89 par20/075OR 89projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Cartmel56th7th−1
2026-07-02Perth45th5th0
2026-05-19Hexham56th7th−1
2026-04-20Kelso53rd4th−1
2026-02-16Carlisle410th10th0
2025-12-14Carlisle56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0314/1219/0520/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20256th14/126%29%+0.02
02/11/202510th100/10%25%+0.25
30/11/20254th22/10%57%+0.57
14/12/20256th20/10%29%+0.29
16/02/202610th16/116%31%+0.15
20/04/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
19/05/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
02/07/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
20/07/20266th20/10%29%+0.29