Klitschko
8yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 117
Kelso · Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Sedgefield | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Catterick | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-21 | Catterick | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Doncaster | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Sedgefield | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Cartmel | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 26/01/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 20/03/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/04/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 31% | -0.11 |
| 24/05/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |