6
Ice Jet
4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 127
Kelso · NSPCC School Service Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 14y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Newton Abbot | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-19 | Huntingdon | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Hereford | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.30 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 30/100 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |