Inis Oirr
9yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 106
Kelso · Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 2f 39y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Perth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Perth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Perth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Perth | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Carlisle | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |