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6

Boston Queen

5yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 79

Kelso · Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed little in a handful of runs for Gordon Elliott and it was a similar story for his new yard when a well-held sixth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Perth (2m, good to soft) 10 days ago. Needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 2m125y Goo 1548/06C8C8 @ Sligo 13/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 14613/07C8C8 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f165y Yie 14919/09C8BHA88 @ Killarney 05/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 88 · 2m1f Yie 155 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 88 par5/1088OR 885 @ Perth 24/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 2m47y Goo 154 · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 81 par24/095OR 81projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Perth56th6th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA84−3
2026-05-22DownpatrickBHA85−4
2025-10-05KillarneyBHA8810th15th−4
2025-09-19Downpatrick?6th10th−3
2025-07-13Sligo?9th13th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0613/0719/095/1024/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20259th9/153%38%-0.14
13/07/20259th40/10%33%+0.33
19/09/20256th50/10%64%+0.64
05/10/202510th50/10%25%+0.25
24/09/20266th100/10%38%+0.38