1
Helsgetaway
7yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 92
Kelso · Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Kelso | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelso | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Newcastle | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ayr | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Hexham | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-18 | Wetherby | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2023 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 07/04/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 16/10/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/12/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 18/03/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 14/03/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |