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8

Malangen

11yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 75

Kelso · Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Front-running veteran. Placed 5 times in early summer (including here) but not at his best in recent starts, only eighth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Perth (2½m, good to soft) 10 days ago. Now eighteen runs without a victory.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hexham 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 83 · 2m48y Sft 152 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 83 par9/055OR 835 @ Perth 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 83 · 2m4f35y GS 154 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 83 par5 @ Hexham 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 2m48y Goo 155 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 81 par19/055OR 815 @ Hexham 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 81 · 2m4f28y Gd 151 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 81 par5 @ Hexham 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 81 · 2m48y Gd 151 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 81 par21/065OR 815 @ Perth 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 81 · 2m4f35y Gd 150 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 81 par5 @ Perth 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 2m47y Gd 148 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 80 par12/075OR 805 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 78 · 2m1f46y Goo 146 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 78 par5 @ Perth 24/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 77 · 2m4f35y Goo 145 · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 77 par24/095OR 77projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Perth58th8th0
2026-08-29Cartmel54th4th0
2026-07-12Perth54th4th0
2026-07-02Perth58th8th0
2026-06-21Hexham52nd2nd0
2026-06-13Hexham50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/056/0612/0724/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
13/05/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
19/05/20263rd10/382%78%-0.05
06/06/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
21/06/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
02/07/20268th9/276%22%-0.54
12/07/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
29/08/20264th25/10%70%+0.70
24/09/20268th7/282%36%-0.45