2
Theirshegoes
9yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 90
Kelso · Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hexham | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kelso | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Hexham | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kelso | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |