Valtteri Its James
5yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 85
Kelso · Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 189y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Hexham | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-11 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Ayr | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Newcastle | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |