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8

Mastertown Miss

4yo Filly · 10-12

Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back on track tried over a longer trip returned to hurdling when fourth of 15 in maiden at Ballinrobe (2¼m, good) just over 3 weeks ago. First-time hood goes on and fancied to be in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m7f200y Sft 1462/04C8C0 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR - · 2m132y Yie 15728/04C?C0 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m54y Gd 15924/08C?C8 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f215y Goo 15111/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Ballinrobe?4th4th0
2026-08-24Ballinrobe?4th4th0
2026-04-28Punchestown?8th8th0
2026-04-02Clonmel?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0428/0424/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength93%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/04/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
28/04/20268th28/10%61%+0.61
24/08/20264th8/158%70%+0.12
11/09/20264th15/261%79%+0.18