5
Messonghi
5yo Mare · 10-13
Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Listowel | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +20.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 24/09/2026 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |