6
Alentejo
5yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 91
Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f
#18
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA94 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA96 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-05-27 | Leicester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +11.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2023 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/05/2024 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 10% | -0.32 |
| 27/05/2024 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/07/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |