1
Big Dee
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 97
Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA99 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-10 | Limerick | BHA99 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | BHA98 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cork | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2023 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 11/11/2023 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 29/12/2023 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 02/05/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/08/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.25 |
| 04/11/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/11/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 25/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |