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17

Bossing It

6yo Mare · 11-9 · OR 94

Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came in Kilbeggan maiden hurdle last summer. Has gone backwards from a promising second in handicap hurdle at Wexford in May and has cut little ice in handicap chases on last 2 starts, unseating on latest. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA102 @ Tramore 15/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 2m5f Gd 164 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 102 par15/08102OR 102BHA101 @ Galway 08/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR 101 · 2m160y Goo 157 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 101 parBHA101 @ Navan 17/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 101 · 2m4f50y Sft 156 · below its mark17/11/2025 · OR 101 par17/11101OR 101BHA100 @ Navan 14/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 100 · 2m Sft 146 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 100 parBHA97 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 97 · 2m80y Goo 165 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 97 par20/0497OR 97BHA94 @ Wexford 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 94 · 2m1f Goo 162 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 94 parBHA96 @ Listowel 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 96 · 2m Yie 140 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 96 par1/0696OR 96BHA96 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 96 · 2m1f55y Gd 164 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 96 parBHA95 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m7f140y Gd 163 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 95 par16/0895OR 95projClass-projected finish: 11th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA940
2026-08-16TramoreBHA955th5th0
2026-07-03WexfordBHA968th8th0
2026-06-01ListowelBHA965th5th0
2026-05-16WexfordBHA942nd2nd0
2026-04-20TramoreBHA9713th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0814/121/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1950% of fieldRange 14-19 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20253rd10/147%71%+0.24
08/09/20253rd17/255%89%+0.34
17/11/202510th10/147%25%-0.22
14/12/20257th8/158%57%-0.01
20/04/202613th8/158%20%-0.38
16/05/20262nd11/142%92%+0.50
01/06/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
03/07/20268th11/486%46%-0.39
16/08/20265th10/382%43%-0.40