3
Bryson
6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 93
Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f
#15
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA97 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA97 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | BHA97 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 17-19 · tight 85/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 81% | +0.65 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 17/11/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 48% | +0.48 |
| 15/12/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.20 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |