18
Good Bye Milan
9yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 82
Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-04 | Wexford | BHA89 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-05-14 | Tipperary | BHA89 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-19 | Limerick | BHA89 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-10-04 | Gowran Park | BHA82 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-09-18 | Tramore | BHA84 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-08-16 | Tramore | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 8-19 · tight 59/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2022 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 22/11/2022 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 23/05/2023 | 14th | 5/1 | 74% | 7% | -0.67 |
| 16/08/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/09/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 04/10/2024 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/11/2024 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 14/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 04/07/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |