14
Inches Away
7yo Mare · 10-3 · OR 74
Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA76 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA76 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | BHA77 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-02-13 | Clonmel | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2025-01-27 | Punchestown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 11-19 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2024 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/11/2024 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 15/01/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/01/2025 | 13th | 300/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/02/2025 | 17th | 250/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 08/03/2025 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 31/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 28/08/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 23% | -0.48 |