12
Mr Macphisto
10yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 76
Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA80 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA83 | 0 | ||
| 2024-11-17 | Navan | BHA88 | 0 | ||
| 2024-10-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA88 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-04 | Gowran Park | BHA89 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Wexford | BHA91 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 8-18 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2022 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.21 |
| 26/05/2023 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.29 |
| 14/07/2023 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 94% | +0.28 |
| 16/09/2023 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/10/2023 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 30/08/2024 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/10/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 12/10/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |