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2

Regards To Rose

7yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 97

Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Travelled well when off the mark in 17-runner handicap hurdle at Listowel last autumn. Hasn't matched that level since, but has hinted at a revival on last 2 starts and now finds herself just 1 lb higher than her last winning mark. Market should prove informative.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 29/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 100 · 2m3f50y Goo 161 · below its mark29/05/2025 · OR 100 par29/05C8OR 100C8 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 100 · 2m5f139y Goo 161 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 100 parC8 @ Killarney 18/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 100 · 2m6f180y Yie 153 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 100 par18/07C8OR 100BHA98 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 98 · 2m4f50y Goo 166 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 98 parC5 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 96 · 2m Goo 164 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 96 par26/09C5OR 96BHA101 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 101 · 2m13y Goo 140 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 101 parBHA101 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 101 · 2m110y Gd 157 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 101 par2/07101OR 101BHA100 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 100 · 2m1f Goo 156 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 100 parBHA98 @ Listowel 20/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 98 · 2m2f100y Goo 144 · below its mark20/09/2026 · OR 98 par20/0998OR 98projClass-projected finish: 10th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20ListowelBHA987th7th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA1008th8th0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA1019th9th0
2026-05-26BallinrobeBHA1018th8th0
2025-09-26Listowel?1st1st0
2025-08-23KillarneyBHA985th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0523/082/0720/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength45%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20252nd6/168%93%+0.24
08/06/20254th11/271%81%+0.10
18/07/20253rd11/486%82%-0.04
23/08/20255th6/168%69%+0.01
26/09/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
26/05/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
02/07/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
16/07/20268th25/10%50%+0.50
20/09/20267th7/163%65%+0.02