11
St Anthonys Corner
6yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 83
Killarney · Seamus Weldon John Deere Dealer Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 1f
#16
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA83 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-01 | Sligo | BHA86 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Galway | BHA89 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA91 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Sligo | BHA92 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA91 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 17-19 · tight 86/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 28/12/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 28/01/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 13/03/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 11/04/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 13/05/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 11/08/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 08/09/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 01/10/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |