6
Celtic Alliance
4yo Filly · 11-3
Killarney · Gleneagle Arena Killarney Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Perth | 4 | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Clonmel | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -61.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |