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8

No Mon No Fun

5yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 104

Killarney · Gleneagle Arena Killarney Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved from debut with win in 13-runner maiden hurdle at Ballinrobe (17f, good) in July but got nowhere near to backing that up when tailed off at Kilbeggan (19f, good to soft) the following month. Has since moved yards.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 2m4f Gd 1662/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 15821/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 105 · 2m2f200y Goo 166 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 105 par21/08C8OR 105projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?8th8th0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?1st2nd−1
2026-07-02Limerick?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0721/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -34.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20264th28/10%82%+0.82
21/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
21/08/20268th25/10%13%+0.13