IvyArcIvyArc
8

King's Son

6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 89

Killarney · QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 180y

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden hurdler/chaser who has failed to see his last 2 races out in the latter sphere, acknowledging a late error did at least offer some mitigation last time. Has a bit to prove now back over hurdles, not least his stamina for such a test.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 16627/10C8BHA97 @ Tramore 25/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 97 · 2m5f Sft 166 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 97 parBHA96 @ Leopardstown 28/12/2025 · Pos 16th of 23 · OR 96 · 2m4f150y Goo 142 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 96 par28/1296OR 96BHA94 @ Cork 06/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 94 · 2m Yie 162 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 94 parBHA90 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 90 · 2m3f100y Gd 146 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 90 par13/0690OR 90BHA90 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 90 · 2m3f110y Gd 158 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 90 parBHA88 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 88 · 1m7f110y Gd 156 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 88 par22/0788OR 88BHA86 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 86 · 2m5f141y Sft 159 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 86 parBHA84 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 84 · 2m3f100y Gd 152 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 84 par31/0884OR 84projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31DownpatrickBHA845th5th0
2026-08-04RoscommonBHA867th7th0
2026-07-22WexfordBHA886th6th0
2026-07-03WexfordBHA906th6th0
2026-06-13DownpatrickBHA903rd3rd0
2026-04-06CorkBHA9415th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/106/0422/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20252nd10/382%90%+0.08
25/11/20258th11/142%53%+0.11
28/12/202516th50/10%32%+0.32
06/04/202615th11/142%26%-0.16
13/06/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
03/07/20266th7/282%58%-0.23
22/07/20266th17/255%58%+0.03
04/08/20267th15/261%50%-0.11
31/08/20265th10/147%71%+0.24