6
Monntie
4yo Filly · 11-7 · OR 95
Killarney · QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 180y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA95 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA63 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 12/07/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |