9
Political Stance
6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 89
Killarney · QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 180y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA90 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA91 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | BHA93 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Clonmel | BHA93 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Listowel | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 23/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 31/05/2025 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 16/06/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 10/08/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 11/09/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |