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4

Ballybrittas

7yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 104

Killarney · Carry Out Handicap Chase · 2m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved to open his account over fences at Wexford (2m) in late-July. Unable to confirm that form with Lady Doyanne when 4 lengths third there next time and ran one of his lesser races at Ballinrobe just over 3 weeks ago. First-time headgear goes on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clonmel 27/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m86y Goo 16627/03C?BHA112 @ Kilbeggan 16/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 112 · 2m4f90y Goo 166 · below its mark16/05/2025 · OR 112 parBHA110 @ Roscommon 09/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 110 · 2m5f150y Goo 166 · below its mark09/06/2025 · OR 110 par9/06110OR 110C8 @ Wexford 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 106 · 2m3f100y Goo 147 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 106 parBHA102 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 102 · 2m3f210y Goo 159 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 102 par24/04102OR 102BHA100 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 100 · 2m4f100y Goo 156 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 100 parBHA98 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 98 · 1m7f110y Gd 147 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 98 par22/0798OR 98BHA104 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 104 · 1m7f120y Goo 156 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 104 parBHA104 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 104 · 2m1f48y Yie 160 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 104 par11/09104OR 104projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA1048th8th0
2026-08-08WexfordBHA1043rd3rd0
2026-07-22WexfordBHA981st1st0
2026-05-11KillarneyBHA1005th5th0
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA1024th4th0
2026-04-10Wexford?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0310/0422/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength37%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20252nd6/594%92%-0.01
16/05/20259th6/168%33%-0.35
09/06/202510th14/126%31%+0.04
10/04/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
24/04/20264th25/10%77%+0.77
11/05/20265th12/137%69%+0.32
22/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
08/08/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24
11/09/20268th11/271%53%-0.18