2
Beauforts Storm
7yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 110
Killarney · Carry Out Handicap Chase · 2m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Roscommon | BHA110 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA112 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA116 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA112 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA112 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 8% | -0.73 |
| 06/04/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |