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6

Claude

5yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 102

Killarney · Carry Out Handicap Chase · 2m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Wexford maiden hurdle winner for Joseph O'Brien last summer. Hasn't fully fired for current connections but did run close to his recent hurdles form sent chasing when fourth of 16 in handicap chase at Ballinrobe (17f, good) just over 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 24/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 15424/07C8C8 @ Sligo 07/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f193y Goo 161BHA116 @ Tipperary 05/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 116 · 2m20y Goo 157 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 116 par5/10116OR 116C8 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 115 · 2m100y Yie 162 · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 115 parBHA110 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 110 · 2m3f50y Goo 166 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 110 par10/05110OR 110BHA107 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 107 · 2m1f Goo 163 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 107 parBHA106 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 106 · 2m130y Gd 162 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 106 par27/07106OR 106BHA104 @ Tramore 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 104 · 2m Gd 162 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 104 parBHA102 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 102 · 2m1f48y Yie 158 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 102 par11/09102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA1024th4th0
2026-08-13TramoreBHA1044th4th0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA10611th11th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA1073rd3rd0
2026-05-10CorkBHA11011th11th0
2026-04-29PunchestownBHA1120

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0727/1027/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
07/08/20253rd8/158%71%+0.14
05/10/20256th12/137%29%-0.08
27/10/20257th16/116%0%-0.16
10/05/202611th40/10%29%+0.29
16/07/20263rd18/15%86%+0.80
27/07/202611th33/10%47%+0.47
13/08/20264th15/261%40%-0.21
11/09/20264th11/142%80%+0.38