9

Party President

6yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 100

Killarney · Carry Out Handicap Chase · 2m 1f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won first 2 starts in handicap hurdles in spring 2025 but patchy record since, including over fences. Has switched yards (for £5,000) since last seen finishing tailed off on both outings at the Galway Festival (over hurdles most recently).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA109 @ Killarney 17/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 109 · 2m4f85y Yie 166 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 109 par17/07109OR 109BHA108 @ Navan 17/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 108 · 2m50y Sft 148 · below its mark17/11/2025 · OR 108 parBHA107 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 107 · 2m Sft 169 · below its mark15/12/2025 · OR 107 par15/12107OR 107BHA107 @ Naas 09/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 107 · 2m2f200y Yie 165 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 107 parBHA104 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 104 · 2m100y Sft 161 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 104 par8/06104OR 104BHA106 @ Wexford 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 106 · 2m Goo 149 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 106 parBHA104 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 104 · 2m1f Goo 160 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 104 par16/07104OR 104BHA105 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 105 · 2m2f54y Gd 161 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 105 parBHA102 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 102 · 2m160y Goo 148 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 102 par2/08102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02GalwayBHA10215th15th0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA10514th14th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA1046th6th0
2026-06-30WexfordBHA1066th6th0
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA1042nd2nd0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA1060

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/079/0116/072/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength26%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20258th5/174%42%-0.32
17/11/202511th11/142%0%-0.42
15/12/20255th15/261%73%+0.13
09/01/20269th13/266%20%-0.46
08/06/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
30/06/20266th7/282%58%-0.23
16/07/20266th6/168%64%-0.04
28/07/202614th28/10%32%+0.32
02/08/202615th16/116%13%-0.03