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Impero

7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 126

Killarney · O'Donoghue Ring Collection Beginners Chase · 2m 4f 180y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Flat-bred 7-y-o. Useful handicapper up to 2½m over hurdles. Hasn't come close to matching that form in 3 starts over fences, though again showed some aptitude for chasing when well-held fourth at Roscommon (17f). Will need to be on his game to see off a couple of less-exposed ones here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Punchestown 29/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 127 · 2m149y Yie 146 · below its mark29/04/2025 · OR 127 par29/041OR 1272 @ Kelso 25/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 129 · 2m51y Gd 168 · beat its mark25/05/2025 · OR 129 par3 @ Stratford 17/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 137 · 2m70y Goo 168 · below its mark17/06/2025 · OR 137 par17/063OR 137BHA76 @ Galway 02/08/2025 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR 76 · 1m3f180y Yie 137 · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 76 parBHA136 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 136 · 2m1f Goo 166 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 136 par9/05136OR 1362 @ Kelso 24/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 140 · 2m51y Gd 168 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 140 parC0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 16615/06C?C0 @ Wexford 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m Goo 166C0 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m142y Sft 1664/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Roscommon?4th4th0
2026-06-30Wexford?5th5th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-05-24Kelso23rd3rd0
2026-05-09KillarneyBHA1362nd2nd0
2025-08-02GalwayBHA7617th17th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/042/0815/064/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/202510th14/126%44%+0.17
25/05/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
17/06/20253rd13/891%33%-0.58
02/08/202517th9/153%6%-0.47
09/05/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
24/05/20263rd5/174%33%-0.40
15/06/20265th3/184%64%-0.21
30/06/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
04/08/20264th10/382%50%-0.32